Hypothesis
Eleven years of NANOGrav pulsar-timing data would reveal an isotropic stochastic gravitational-wave background.
What failed
The search found no evidence for a gravitational-wave background; the data instead set upper limits on the background's strain amplitude and constraints on supermassive black-hole binaries, cosmic strings and a primordial background.
Broken assumption
An 11-year pulsar-timing array is sensitive enough to detect the nanohertz gravitational-wave background, and its limits don't depend on the solar-system ephemeris.
Why
No signal was detected at this sensitivity. The authors also found that the limits depend on the solar-system ephemeris model used, and that ephemeris errors can mimic a background signal, so they developed an approach robust to those errors.
From the published paper: Arzoumanian et al. Figshare, 2024. ↗CC BY