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Medicine› Surgery› Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health

Cardiovascular disease — HCA2 niacin receptor; DP1 (laropiprant)

Submitted 2026-10-22

Field: Medicine › SurgeryType: No effect foundArea: cardiovascular diseaseTarget: HCA2 niacin receptor; DP1 (laropiprant)Stage: randomized trial

Hypothesis

Extended-release niacin with laropiprant, added to statin therapy, would reduce major vascular events by further lowering LDL and raising HDL cholesterol.

What failed

In 25,673 adults with vascular disease over a median 3.9 years, major vascular events occurred in 13.2% on niacin-laropiprant vs 13.7% on placebo (rate ratio 0.96, P=0.29), while serious disturbances of diabetes control rose by 3.7 percentage points.

Broken assumption

Further lowering LDL and raising HDL with niacin reduces vascular events once patients are on an effective statin.

Target engaged
Yes

Why

The lipid changes were real but modest on top of effective statin therapy (LDL about 10 mg/dL lower, HDL about 6 mg/dL higher) and did not translate into fewer events — while adverse events increased.

From the published paper: HPS2-THRIVE Collaborative Group. N Engl J Med, 2014. NCT00461630 ↗

Research ideas from this failure

Unvetted lead — read the papers

New hypotheses this failure suggests, each with a crucial experiment, a rival explanation of the original result, and the papers it rests on. Written by AI from paper titles and abstracts found on OpenAlex (and Europe PMC, for life and health sciences).

Related failures (3)

Matched on shared genes, mechanisms and ways of failing as well as wording. Each shows why it matched — treat these as leads rather than verdicts.

Links in published research

Where this experiment's genes are known to matter outside its own research area, and the papers behind those links. Sources: Open Targets Platform and Europe PMC.