Hypothesis
A high-dose capsaicin patch would reduce severe pain that persists after inguinal hernia repair.
What failed
In 46 patients, pain fell most at 1 month, but the difference from placebo did not reach the trial's significance level (P = 0.046 against P < 0.01). There was no difference at 2 or 3 months, and skin nerve fibre density did not change.
Broken assumption
Desensitising skin nerves with capsaicin relieves persistent pain after hernia repair.
Why
The abstract does not give a cause. The patch did not reduce the skin nerve fibres it is thought to act on.
From the published paper: Bischoff et al. PLoS ONE, 2014. ↗CC BY