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Medicine› Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine› Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control

Autonomic physiology — Heart rate variability as a readout of vagal tone

Submitted 2026-10-22

Field: Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular MedicineType: No effect foundArea: autonomic physiologyTarget: Heart rate variability as a readout of vagal toneStage: preclinical

Hypothesis

Directly recorded tonic activity in the cervical vagus nerve would correlate with standard heart rate variability metrics, which are used clinically as a proxy for vagal tone.

What failed

Chronic recordings from the left cervical vagus of anaesthetised and awake rats, made with carbon nanotube yarn electrodes, showed no correlation between tonic vagal activity and common HRV measures. A breathing-linked rise in vagal firing during inspiration was also uncorrelated with HRV.

Broken assumption

Heart rate variability is a faithful indirect measure of vagus nerve activity.

Why

The paper does not identify what HRV does track; it concludes that the link between HRV and 'vagal tone' needs to be reinterpreted.

From the published paper: Marmerstein et al. Scientific Reports, 2021. ↗CC BY

Research ideas from this failure

Unvetted lead — read the papers

New hypotheses this failure suggests, each with a crucial experiment, a rival explanation of the original result, and the papers it rests on. Written by AI from paper titles and abstracts found on OpenAlex (and Europe PMC, for life and health sciences).

Related failures

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Links in published research

Where this experiment's genes are known to matter outside its own research area, and the papers behind those links. Sources: Open Targets Platform and Europe PMC.